Pakistan: Coal for Power Generation
Coal is a valuable and plentiful natural global resource.
Not only does coal provide electricity, it is also an essential fuel for
steel and cement production, and other industrial activities. World coal
consumption was about 7.25 billion tones in 2010 and is expected to increase
48 per cent to 9.05 billion tones by 2030.
Total world coal production reached a record level of
7,678 million tons in 2011, increasing by 6.6 per cent over 2010. Worldwide,
lignite production rose by 5.9 per cent to 1041 million tons in 2011,
reaching a level not seen since 1990.
OECD lignite production rose by 3.5 per
cent to 604 million tons after three years of decline, led by increases in
Germany, Poland and Turkey. Non-OECD lignite production rose even more strongly,
increasing by 37.5 million tons to a record level of 437 million tons in
2011.
Furthermore, coal plants are the most polluting of all
power stations and it is identified 1,200 coal plants in planning across 59
countries, with about three-quarters in China and India. The capacity of the
new plants adds up to 1,400 GW to global greenhouse gas emissions.
China
became a net importer of coal in 2009 but the biggest changes are fast-rising
imports by Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, which all have large numbers of
coal-fired plants but produce virtually no coal of their own.
However, Germany, UK and France remain in the top 10
importers, and coal use rose 4 per cent in 2011 in Europe as prices fell and
plants due to close under clean air rules use up their allotted running hours.
Many developing countries, such as Guatemala, Cambodia,
Morocco, Namibia, Senegal and Sri Lanka, and Uzbekistan, are planning new
coal-fired plants even when they produce almost no coal at all.
USA
In 2009, the Energy Information Administration listed 594
coal-fired power plants in the US, down from 645 coal-fired power plants in
2001. Of these 594 plants, 341 were owned by electric utilities, 100 by IPPs,
and the remainder by industrial and commercial producers of combined heat and
power.
For the twelve months ending in June 2012, United States' coal plants
produced 1,563,298 gigawatt hours of electricity, or 38.4 per cent of total
US electricity production. Currently, more than 9,000 mg of coal-fired
generation retired in the United States in 2012 as stricter federal pollution
standards move closer to reality and cheaper natural gas makes coal plants
less attractive economically.
CHINA
Most power generated in China comes from coal-fired
plants, which makes power producers heavily exposed to the prices of the
commodity. In order to keep electricity tariffs stable, the government has
asked coal suppliers for years to sell to power firms at contracted prices,
which are far below market rates.
Presently, China's coal and electricity companies signed
deals for a total of 1.87 billion metric tons of coal for 2013, an increase
of 55.8 per cent year-on-year.
INDIA
India's energy mix mainly comprises of coal (52%), oil
(32%), gas (10 %), hydro electricity (5 %) and nuclear energy (1 %). Coal
continues playing it's dominate role in India's efforts to achieve a targeted
7 to 8 per cent economic growth and its demand is expected to rise 41 per
cent in the year ending March 2017.
Shortfall in coal supply and low
efficient power generation infrastructures are to blame for its constant
power shortage especially this July's worst-ever blackout in India's history.
The country produced about 578 million tons in 2011. 68.7 per cent of China's
electricity comes from coal. The government of India has made various steps
to promote clean coal technologies such as underground coal gasification.
AUSTRALIA
Coal in Australia is mined primarily in Queensland, New
South Wales and Victoria. It is used to generate electricity and 54 per cent
of the coal mined in Australia is exported, mostly to eastern Asia. During FY
2000-01, 258.5 million tons of coal was mined, and 193.6 million tons
exported. Coal also provides about 85 per cent of Australia's electricity
production. In FY 2008-09, about 487 million tons coal was mined and 261
million tons exported.
INDONESIA
Indonesia has introduced bench mark pricing mechanism for
its coal since February 2010, and it has implemented for the domestic
supplies as well the export market. Indonesian coal producers have shipped
approximately 8.236 million tons of coal to China in June, which was 0.24 per
cent higher than May 2011 exports.
However, Indonesian producers failed to
push more coal to India in June. Indonesia's coal production itself expanded
from 217 million tons in 2007 to 353 million tons in 2011, nearly doubling in
just 4 years, driven primarily by exports. It was estimated that the low
prices are challenging for Indonesian small-to-medium coal companies with
some of them having stopped production.
The government is expected to see a massive increase in
power supply this year to 19 coal-fired power plants, with a combined operational
capacity of 3,620MW.
PAKISTAN
In Pakistan, Thar has one of the largest lignite deposits
in the world that is 175 billion tones which has the capacity to meet energy
requirements of the country for at least 100 years.
Pakistan's existing power generation mix with 40 per cent
reliance on imported furnace oil is not sustainable as reflected in country's
inability to utilize 100 per cent of its power generation capacity due to
lack of funds for furnace oil purchase.
Development of power plants on imported coal will merely
shift reliance from one imported energy source to another with inherent
international pricing risks.
The government has decided to convert all the existing and
new power plants on the specification of Thar Coal versus earlier plan of converting
these on imported coal.
In a historic decision, the government has also decided
that a coal off-take agreement would be signed between Generation Company
(GENCO) and Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company (SECMC). The government of
Pakistan should finance mining projects in Thar in order to overcome the
shortage of electricity in the country.
Courtesy: Pakistan & Gulf Economist
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Sunday, 27 January 2013
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